Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.000653 0.000747 0.000847 0.000960 0.001085 0.001219 0.001372
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000497 0.000625 0.000771 0.000948 0.001156 0.001390 0.001673
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000408 0.000547 0.000713 0.000924 0.001182 0.001484 0.001860
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000351 0.000499 0.000684 0.000927 0.001235 0.001605 0.002079
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000310 0.000465 0.000665 0.000937 0.001291 0.001727 0.002299
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000265 0.000418 0.000624 0.000913 0.001299 0.001788 0.002442
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000226 0.000376 0.000584 0.000886 0.001300 0.001835 0.002565
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000200 0.000350 0.000565 0.000884 0.001331 0.001920 0.002738
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000179 0.000328 0.000548 0.000883 0.001362 0.002005 0.002912
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000158 0.000303 0.000525 0.000871 0.001378 0.002069 0.003057
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000139 0.000278 0.000500 0.000854 0.001383 0.002116 0.003179
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000129 0.000270 0.000499 0.000873 0.001440 0.002237 0.003405
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000120 0.000261 0.000496 0.000889 0.001494 0.002355 0.003633
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000105 0.000241 0.000474 0.000872 0.001499 0.002405 0.003766
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000091 0.000220 0.000450 0.000852 0.001496 0.002441 0.003879
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000083 0.000209 0.000441 0.000854 0.001528 0.002529 0.004066
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000077 0.000201 0.000436 0.000864 0.001570 0.002633 0.004279
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000067 0.000184 0.000414 0.000841 0.001561 0.002658 0.004378
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000057 0.000168 0.000390 0.000816 0.001545 0.002673 0.004460
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000159 0.000381 0.000813 0.001567 0.002744 0.004628
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000151 0.000372 0.000812 0.001590 0.002818 0.004801
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000041 0.000141 0.000359 0.000802 0.001596 0.002867 0.004935
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000036 0.000130 0.000343 0.000785 0.001592 0.002897 0.005041